Planning Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems When the Central Grid Conditions Are Uncertain

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  • Author
    Dr. Majd Olleik
  • Level
    Intermediate
  • Study time
    ~ 25 minutes
  • Videos
    4
  • Contact
    mo10@aub.edu.lb

Module Description

This module introduces a planning framework for Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems (HRES) in communities where reliable future central grid availability is uncertain. Unlike conventional HRES planning, which assumes fixed grid conditions, the course addresses uncertainty in the timing, electricity prices, and interconnection arrangements of future grid access. Participants will get introduced to deterministic, stochastic, and receding horizon planning approaches, understand the role of asset retirement and market liquidity in investment decisions, and examine a practical case study from Lebanon. The course concludes with a simplified planning methodology that achieves near-optimal results while avoiding the complexity of continuous uncertainty assessment.

Learning Outcomes

By the end of this module, you will be able to:

  • Explain the challenges of planning hybrid renewable energy systems under uncertain future grid conditions.
  • Distinguish between different hybrid renewable energy system planning approaches.
  • Describe how uncertainty in future grid availability and market liquidity influence investment decisions.
  • Compare deterministic, stochastic, and receding horizon planning methods.
  • Apply a practical planning approach for hybrid renewable energy systems under uncertain grid conditions.
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Dr. Majd Olleik

Majd Olleik is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Industrial Engineering and Management and the Director of the Energy Modeling and Economics Research Group (EMERG) at the American University of Beirut. He received his Ph.D. in Engineering in 2022 from Vienna University of Technology, specializing in electricity and energy economics. His research informs electricity planning, market design, and energy policy in developing and resource-constrained contexts.